What Is Diesel Costing Right Now?
The U.S. Energy Information Administration put the national average on-highway diesel price at $5.257 a gallon for the week ending August 10, 2026. At 6.5 MPG that is $0.809 a mile — about $105,140 of fuel a year on 130,000 miles. Fuelling on the Gulf Coast puts it at $0.776 a mile; fuelling in California puts it at $1.018.
That is the whole answer, and everything below is the arithmetic behind it: what fuel costs at your MPG, what it costs in each EIA region, how to check the fuel surcharge a broker is paying you against it, and the four changes that actually move your annual fuel bill.
Every figure on this page derives from the EIA reading above and from stated assumptions (6.5 MPG, 2,500 miles a week, 130,000 miles a year). Change the pump price and every number here changes with it — which is the point. Diesel is a weekly number, not a standing fact, and this page carries the week it was read.
How Much Has Diesel Moved in 2026?
A long way, and not in the direction anyone forecast. Early-2026 projections pointed at roughly $3.50 a gallon. The EIA weekly series has instead run from $3.46 to $5.64 and averaged $4.80. That range alone is worth $0.335 a mile at 6.5 MPG — about $43,600 a year — which is why an annual fuel forecast is a planning assumption and never a number to price freight against.
| Reading | Diesel / gal | Fuel cost / mile at 6.5 MPG | Fuel / year at 130,000 mi |
|---|---|---|---|
| What early-2026 forecasts called for | $3.50 | $0.538 | $70,000 |
| 2026 low | $3.46 | $0.532 | $69,200 |
| 2026 average to date | $4.80 | $0.738 | $96,000 |
| Week ending August 10, 2026 | $5.257 | $0.809 | $105,140 |
| 2026 high | $5.64 | $0.868 | $112,800 |
Diesel prices: EIA Weekly Retail Gasoline and Diesel Prices, U.S. No. 2 diesel, on-highway, all types. Current reading week ending August 10, 2026; 2026 low, high and average from the same weekly series. Cost per mile and annual figures derived at 6.5 MPG.
Why it went up: crude. The EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook released 11 August 2026 forecasts Brent crude averaging $87 a barrel in 2026, up from an actual $69 in 2025, and projects it back to $69 in 2027. Diesel follows crude with a lag, so the 2027 forecast is the reason to keep a surcharge mechanism in your contracts rather than folding fuel into an all-in rate at today's level.
On seasonality: diesel is conventionally described as expensive in Q1, when heating oil competes for the same refinery capacity, and cheaper through the summer. 2026 did not follow that shape — a $2.18 range across the year is far wider than seasonality explains, and the reading in August ($5.257) sits well above the year's own average of $4.80. Plan around the weekly number. If you are building an annual plan, our seasonal freight calendar is the demand-side companion to this page, and both sit under our freight rates and market conditions hub.
How Much Does Fuel Cost Per Mile for a Semi Truck?
Pump price divided by MPG. At the EIA's $5.257 for the week ending August 10, 2026, a truck getting 6.5 MPG spends $0.809 a mile on fuel. The table runs the same division across 2026's actual price range so the number you need is on it whichever week you read this.
| Diesel / gal | 5.5 MPG | 6.0 MPG | 6.5 MPG | 7.0 MPG | 7.5 MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4.40 | $0.800 | $0.733 | $0.677 | $0.629 | $0.587 |
| $4.80 | $0.873 | $0.800 | $0.738 | $0.686 | $0.640 |
| $5.00 | $0.909 | $0.833 | $0.769 | $0.714 | $0.667 |
| $5.257 (now) | $0.956 | $0.876 | $0.809 | $0.751 | $0.701 |
| $5.40 | $0.982 | $0.900 | $0.831 | $0.771 | $0.720 |
| $5.64 | $1.025 | $0.940 | $0.868 | $0.806 | $0.752 |
| $6.618 (CA) | $1.203 | $1.103 | $1.018 | $0.945 | $0.882 |
Fuel cost per mile = diesel price ÷ MPG. Price rows: $4.80 is the 2026 average to date, $5.257 the week ending August 10, 2026, $5.64 the 2026 high and $6.618 the California average for the same week — all from the EIA weekly series. The 6.5 MPG column is this article's working assumption, not a published fleet average — use your own ECM figure.
The MPG gap is the biggest lever on the table: at $5.257, the difference between 5.5 and 7.0 MPG is $0.205 a mile. Over 130,000 miles that is $26,626 of fuel — the same effect as a $0.205 per mile rate increase on every load, without negotiating anything. Run your own numbers in the fuel cost calculator and see how fuel sits inside your full operating cost with the cost per mile calculator.
What Percentage of Operating Cost Is Fuel?
About 30% right now, and you can check the arithmetic. ATRI's 2026 operational costs update puts the industry-average marginal cost of operating a truck at $2.336 a mile for 2025, of which $1.854 is everything other than fuel. Substitute today's fuel line — $5.257 at 6.5 MPG, or $0.809 a mile — and the total becomes $2.663 a mile, with fuel at 30.4% of it.
Set that against the revenue side. DAT's national dry van spot average was $3.00 a mile in June 2026, when spot passed contract for the first time since February 2022. A $3.00 load covers $0.809 of fuel and ATRI's $1.854 of everything else with $0.337 a mile left over — about $843 across 2,500 loaded miles in a week.
Read that as a worked illustration on industry averages, not as what your truck will earn. ATRI's non-fuel line already includes driver compensation, so for an owner-operator that $0.337 sits on top of the wage line rather than instead of it — and your insurance, truck payment and maintenance will not match the industry average. Both inputs are dated observations: the ATRI figure describes 2025 and the diesel figure describes one week of 2026. For where the rate side goes next, see our freight rate recovery analysis and the market indicators worth watching.
One structural note: fuel is roughly 30% of cost per mile, but it is close to 100% of the cost that changes week to week. Your truck payment does not move when Brent does. That is why a working fuel surcharge matters more than its share of the total suggests.
Where Is Diesel Cheapest and Most Expensive?
The EIA publishes the weekly price by region as well as nationally. For the week ending August 10, 2026, the spread between the cheapest region (Gulf Coast, $5.044) and California ($6.618) was $1.574 a gallon — $236 to $283 on a 150 to 180-gallon fill, or $0.242 a mile at 6.5 MPG.
| EIA region | Price / gal | vs national | Fuel / mile at 6.5 MPG | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Atlantic (PADD 1C) | $5.034 | -$0.223 | $0.774 | GA, FL, NC, SC, VA |
| Gulf Coast (PADD 3) | $5.044 | -$0.213 | $0.776 | TX, LA, MS, AL — refinery row |
| Midwest (PADD 2) | $5.181 | -$0.076 | $0.797 | Tracks the national number closely |
| East Coast (PADD 1) | $5.193 | -$0.064 | $0.799 | Aggregate of the three sub-regions |
| U.S. national average | $5.257 | — | $0.809 | The DOE number FSC schedules use |
| Rocky Mountain (PADD 4) | $5.271 | +$0.014 | $0.811 | Effectively at the national average |
| New England (PADD 1A) | $5.514 | +$0.257 | $0.848 | Long supply lines, high state taxes |
| West Coast excl. California (PADD 5) | $5.526 | +$0.269 | $0.850 | WA, OR, NV, AZ |
| Central Atlantic (PADD 1B) | $5.535 | +$0.278 | $0.852 | Includes PA, NY, NJ |
| West Coast incl. California (PADD 5) | $6.033 | +$0.776 | $0.928 | Pulled up by California |
| California | $6.618 | +$1.361 | $1.018 | CARB blend + state carbon programs |
All prices from the EIA Weekly Retail Gasoline and Diesel Prices, U.S. No. 2 diesel, on-highway, all types, week ending August 10, 2026. Differentials and cost per mile derived from those prices. These are regional averages — an individual truck stop can sit either side of them.
What to do with it: the two cheap regions — Gulf Coast at -$0.213 and Lower Atlantic at -$0.223 — cover the I-10, I-20 and I-95 south corridors, which is where most cross-country fuel planning should be anchored. Rocky Mountain sits within $0.014 of the national number, so crossing it is price-neutral. The two expensive ones are Central Atlantic (+$0.278) and California (+$1.361), and only one of those is worth restructuring a route around.
Fuelling before California: the usual stops are Reno, Nevada on I-80; Primm, Nevada on I-15; and Ehrenberg, Arizona on I-10. All three sit in the EIA's West Coast excluding California region at $5.526 — $1.092 a gallon below the California average for the same week. On a 150-gallon fill that is $164, which is real but smaller than the Gulf-to-California headline; the bigger version of the saving is fuelling on the Gulf Coast before you start west at all.
The other half of the California question is the rate, not the pump. A CA-bound lane costs you $0.242 a mile more in fuel than a Gulf Coast lane at the same MPG, and that belongs in the number you quote — our rate negotiation guide covers how to put a regional cost differential into a counter-offer without losing the load.
Why Is Diesel More Expensive in California?
California ran $6.618 against a national $5.257 for the week ending August 10, 2026 — a premium of $1.361 a gallon. The common explanation is state fuel tax, and the numbers do not support it.
California's diesel excise tax is $0.482 a gallon effective 1 July 2026 (CDTFA). Pennsylvania charges $0.741 a gallon on undyed diesel — $0.259 a gallon more than California — and yet the Central Atlantic region that contains Pennsylvania sat at $5.535, $1.083 below California in the same week. Excise tax is not what makes California expensive.
What is left is the fuel itself and the programs attached to it: California requires its own diesel specification, which limits which refineries can supply the state, and layers state carbon programs and sales tax on top of the pump price. We are not putting a cents-per-gallon figure on each of those components, because we could not source one — the number that is sourced is the EIA pump price, and the $1.361 premium is what you price against.
The federal rate, for comparison: IRS Publication 510 puts the federal excise tax on diesel and kerosene at $0.244 a gallon. That is identical in every state, so all state-to-state variation comes from state rates, blend rules and distribution — and all of it flows through your quarterly fuel tax return. Our IFTA filing guide covers how the tax you paid at the pump is reconciled against the miles you ran in each jurisdiction — which is the reason where you fuel and where you drive are two separate questions.
How Do You Calculate a Fuel Surcharge?
The formula: (current DOE diesel price − base price) ÷ base MPG = fuel surcharge per mile. The DOE price is the EIA weekly national average, republished every Monday. Base price and base MPG come from your rate confirmation; a base around $1.20 a gallon and a base MPG of 5.5 to 6.0 are the values most commonly written into schedules, but they are negotiated terms, not standards — read what is actually on the paperwork.
Worked at today's price: ($5.257 − $1.20) ÷ 6.0 = $0.676 per mile. Over 2,500 miles that is $1,690 a week.
| Diesel / gal | FSC @ 6.0 MPG | FSC @ 5.5 MPG | Weekly (2,500 mi) | Annual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4.40 | $0.533 | $0.582 | $1,333–$1,455 | $69,333–$75,636 |
| $4.80 | $0.600 | $0.655 | $1,500–$1,636 | $78,000–$85,091 |
| $5.00 | $0.633 | $0.691 | $1,583–$1,727 | $82,333–$89,818 |
| $5.257 (now) | $0.676 | $0.738 | $1,690–$1,844 | $87,902–$95,893 |
| $5.40 | $0.700 | $0.764 | $1,750–$1,909 | $91,000–$99,273 |
| $5.64 | $0.740 | $0.807 | $1,850–$2,018 | $96,200–$104,945 |
Calculated as (diesel price − $1.20 base) ÷ base MPG, then multiplied by 2,500 miles a week and 52 weeks. Diesel prices from the EIA weekly series; the $5.257 row is the week ending August 10, 2026. The base price and base MPG are illustrative — substitute the ones on your rate confirmation.
Four things to check on the rate confirmation:
- Which week's DOE price. A surcharge run off an older week is worth whatever diesel moved in between. Check the current EIA reading before you sign.
- The base MPG. A higher denominator means a smaller surcharge. At $5.257, a 6.0 base pays $0.676 a mile and a 7.0 base pays $0.580 — $0.097 a mile, $241 a week, $12,557 a year at 130,000 miles. That single line is worth more than most rate negotiations.
- All miles or loaded miles. A surcharge that only pays on loaded miles leaves your deadhead fuel uncovered, and deadhead fuel costs the same as loaded fuel.
- Whether it is broken out at all. An all-in rate with no separate FSC line cannot be verified, and it stops adjusting the moment diesel moves.
Our guide to reading a rate confirmation line by line shows where each of these terms appears on the document.
How Do You Actually Cut Fuel Spend? Four Levers, With the Arithmetic
Every figure below is derived from the same three inputs: $5.257 a gallon (EIA, week ending August 10, 2026), 130,000 miles a year and 6.5 MPG. Substitute your own and the ranking may change — but the ordering is unlikely to, because the first lever is worth several times the last.
1. Cut deadhead — about $15,771 a year
Empty miles burn fuel and earn nothing. Moving from 75% to 90% loaded on 130,000 annual miles removes 19,500 empty miles — 15% of the total, or 37.5 miles for every 250 you drive. Valued at the loaded 6.5 MPG that is about 3,000 gallons, or $15,771. An empty truck is somewhat more efficient than a loaded one, so treat that as the top of the range rather than the middle.
The fuel is the smaller half of it: those 19,500 miles become revenue miles instead. Model it against your own lanes with the deadhead calculator, and see the tactics in our guide to avoiding deadhead miles. This is the lever a dispatch service moves directly, by booking the next load before you deliver the current one.
2. Cut idle — about $9,463 a year
Idling produces no miles at all, so every gallon is pure loss. On the assumption of 6 hours a day for 300 days a year at 1.0 gallon an hour, that is 1,800 gallons — $9,463 at $5.257.
That gallons-per-hour figure is this article's stated assumption, not a published measurement; your engine reports its own idle rate and idle hours, so pull them and rerun the multiplication with real numbers. Once you have your figure, the payback on any idle-reduction hardware is simply its installed price divided by the annual saving — which is a calculation you can do in a minute and no vendor can do for you.
3. Raise MPG from 6.5 to 7.0 — about $7,510 a year
At $5.257, 130,000 miles costs $105,140 at 6.5 MPG and $97,630 at 7.0 MPG — a difference of $7,510. Widen it to the full 5.5-to-7.0 spread and it is $26,626.
Speed is the input you control without spending anything. A widely used rule of thumb in trucking is that each 1 MPH above 55 costs roughly 0.1 MPG; we have not been able to source that coefficient to a published study, so treat it as a rule of thumb rather than a measurement. If it holds, the gap between 55 and 65 MPH is a full MPG — 7.0 down to 6.0 — which on these inputs is the difference between $97,630 and $113,902 a year, about $16,272. Tyre pressure, trailer aerodynamics and alignment all move the same number in the same direction; our fuel saving tips for drivers covers the practical order to do them in.
4. Fuel card discounts — about $3,000 a year
At 130,000 miles and 6.5 MPG you buy about 20,000 gallons a year. That makes the arithmetic trivial: every $0.01 a gallon off the pump price is $200 a year, and $0.15 a gallon is $3,000. This figure does not move when diesel moves, which is why it is the one number on this page that will still be right next year.
Discount networks — TCS, Comdata, EFS, RTS among them — advertise per-gallon savings that vary by network, by truck stop and by month, so we are not publishing a range for them. Take whatever discount you are actually offered and multiply it by 20,000. The thing that decides whether a card is worth carrying is whether its discount locations sit on the lanes you actually run; a good rate at stops you never pass is worth zero.
Ranked last on purpose: chasing the cheapest pump
Regional planning is worth real money — $1.574 a gallon between the Gulf Coast and California is not noise. But detouring for a few cents at the next truck stop is the smallest lever here and it costs you miles and hours to capture. Fuel where your route already takes you through a cheap EIA region, and spend the attention on the loaded-mile percentage instead. A $2.20 a mile load that keeps you loaded onward beats a $2.50 load that leaves you deadheading 200 miles — those 200 empty miles alone cost $162 in fuel at $5.257, before the unpaid hours and the HOS clock.
Reefer operators should run all of this at their own MPG, which the reefer unit itself lowers — our reefer versus dry van comparison works through that difference.
Are Electric Semi Trucks Cheaper to Run Than Diesel?
The honest answer is that we can source the diesel half of the comparison and not the electric half. The diesel side is fixed by this page: $5.257 a gallon at 6.5 MPG is $0.809 a mile, $105,140 a year on 130,000 miles. That is the number any electric proposal has to beat, and it is the number to check any vendor's comparison against — if a total-cost pitch assumes diesel below $0.809 a mile, it is using an old pump price.
The electric side depends on purchase price, charging cost, residual value, payload lost to battery weight and charging time, and we could not verify figures for those to a primary source in a form worth publishing. An earlier version of this page carried several — a registrations share, a national charger count, a fleet size — with no source attached to any of them. They have been removed rather than restated, and this section will get numbers again when it can get sourced ones.
What is structurally true and does not need a statistic: battery-electric Class 8 works today where the route returns to a base you control and is short enough to charge overnight. Long-haul, irregular-route owner-operators are not that case. Our EV trucks guide for owner-operators goes into the total-cost framework in detail.
One correction worth stating plainly, because this page previously got it wrong: the federal Clean Vehicle Credit under IRC 30D — the credit this article used to link to — is a light-duty consumer credit with an MSRP cap far below a Class 8 tractor, and the DOE records it as expired on 30 September 2025. It never applied to a Class 8 purchase and it no longer exists. Do not build a purchase case on it.
Will Diesel Go Up or Down, and What Should You Do About It?
Nobody knows, including us, and 2026 is the evidence: the consensus forecast entering the year was $3.50 and the actual series has averaged $4.80 and touched $5.64. The one directional signal worth carrying is the EIA's own: its August 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook has Brent at $87 a barrel for 2026 and back to $69 for 2027 — which is a forecast, and forecasts are what this section is warning you about.
So build for volatility instead of for a level. Three things follow from that, and none of them require knowing where diesel goes.
Keep the surcharge mechanism. Whenever diesel is high, brokers have a reason to push for all-in rates; the moment you accept one, your fuel exposure stops adjusting. Insist on a line-item FSC written against the current DOE weekly price with a stated base price and base MPG, on every rate confirmation. It is worth $87,902 a year at today's price on a 6.0 base — and the point of it is that the figure moves on its own.
Spend on MPG, not on hedging. Efficiency is the only fuel position you can take that pays in both directions. Getting from 6.5 to 7.0 MPG is $7,510 a year at $5.257 — and it is still worth $4,943 a year if diesel returns to its 2026 low of $3.46.
Know your own cost per mile. Every number on this page is a national or regional average, and averages are for orientation, not for pricing. Your MPG, your lanes and your fixed costs decide what a load is worth to you. Put your own figures into the cost per mile calculator and the fuel cost calculator, then compare the result against the region rows above rather than against the national headline.
Related Resources
- Freight Rates & Market Conditions — the hub this page sits under, with the rest of the rate and cost cluster
- Fuel Cost Calculator — model fuel cost at any diesel price and MPG
- Cost Per Mile Calculator — see how fuel sits inside your full operating cost
- How to Read a Rate Confirmation — where the FSC base price and base MPG appear on the document
- IFTA Filing Guide — how fuel tax paid at the pump is reconciled against miles by state
- How to Avoid Deadhead Miles — the largest of the four fuel levers above
- Fuel Saving Tips for Truck Drivers — the practical order to make MPG changes in
- EV Trucks for Owner-Operators — the diesel-versus-electric total cost framework